The market strongly favors 6.0%–6.9% at 90%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6.0%–6.9% | 90% | +10% | $6K |
| 2 | 5.0%–5.9% BEST VALUE | 5% | +1787% | $12K |
| 3 | 7.0%–7.9% | 4% | +2253% | $3K |
| 4 | 8.0%+ | 1% | +7043% | $1K |
| 5 | 4.0%–4.9% | 1% | +13233% | $1K |
| 6 | 3.0%–3.9% | 1% | +14186% | $1K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This is a market about the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending May 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. This market...
This prediction market tracks whether Producer Price Index (PPI) YoY - May 2026 will occur, with $26K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by macroeconomic indicators, central bank signals, and market expectations.
The market shows strong consensus: 6.0%–6.9% is priced at 90%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $12K traded in the last 24 hours alone (48% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-06-11. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jun 11, 2026 at 12:15 UTC, the leading outcome is 6.0%–6.9% at 90% probability, with $26K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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