The market strongly favors PQ at 94%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
High Volume — $1.1M traded| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PQ BEST VALUE | 94% | +6% | $201K |
| 2 | PLQ | 3% | +2930% | $167K |
| 3 | CAQ | 1% | +9900% | $167K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins t...
This prediction market tracks whether Quebec General Election Winner will occur, with $1.1M in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by polling data, political developments, and historical voting patterns.
The market shows strong consensus: PQ is priced at 94%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
The market has seen $15K in 24-hour volume, suggesting a period of relative calm. Lower activity periods can present value opportunities for traders who spot mispriced odds before the broader market reacts.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-10-06. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Sep 28, 2026 at 05:55 UTC, the leading outcome is PQ at 94% probability, with $1.1M in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $1.1M, with $15K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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