PQ leads at 76%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PQ | 76% | +32% | $80K |
| 2 | CAQ | 16% | +506% | $108K |
| 3 | PLQ BEST VALUE | 10% | +953% | $100K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins t...
This prediction market tracks whether Quebec General Election Winner will occur, with $753K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by polling data, political developments, and historical voting patterns.
Traders lean toward PQ at 76%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
The market has seen $13K in 24-hour volume, suggesting a period of relative calm. Lower activity periods can present value opportunities for traders who spot mispriced odds before the broader market reacts.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-10-05. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 12, 2026 at 01:45 UTC, the leading outcome is PQ at 76% probability, with $753K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $753K, with $13K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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