No clear favorite. Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay leads at just 18%. Many possible outcomes.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay | 18% | +471% | $516K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - Russia x Ukraine ceasefire - Ukraine agrees not to join NATO - Ukraine signs peace de...
This prediction market tracks whether Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay will occur, with $516K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
No clear favorite has emerged — Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay leads at only 18% across 1 possible outcomes. Markets with this level of uncertainty typically offer the highest potential returns but also carry the greatest risk.
The market has seen $10K in 24-hour volume, suggesting a period of relative calm. Lower activity periods can present value opportunities for traders who spot mispriced odds before the broader market reacts.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-12-31. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jun 13, 2026 at 21:15 UTC, the leading outcome is Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay at 18% probability, with $516K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $516K, with $10K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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