This market will resolve to "Yes" if SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If SpaceX is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
| # | Outcome | Probability | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | December 31 | 92% | $25K |
| 2 | September 30 | 86% | $21K |
| 3 | June 30 | 64% | $59K |
| 4 | June 15 | 40% | $2K |
| 5 | May 31 | 16% | $9K |
| 6 | April 30 | 1% | $90K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
As of Mar 30, 2026 at 21:50 UTC, the leading outcome is December 31 at 92% probability, with $682K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $682K, with $131K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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