S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 24?

Ends Jul 24, 2026 · Volume: $16K · 24h: $16K · Updated Jul 24, 2026 at 07:25 UTC
PredScope Signal: Leaning

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 24? leads at 76%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.

🔥 Surging 24h volume is 100% of total — extremely active trading
# Outcome Probability If Right Volume
1 S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 24? 76% +31% $16K
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Quick Math — $100 on S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 24?
Buy Price
$0.77
If Right
+$30.72
Return
+31%
If wrong, you lose your $100 investment. Prediction markets carry risk.

This market will resolve to "Up" if the official S&P 500 Index open price for S&P 500 (SPX) on July 24 is higher than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading...

Market Analysis

This prediction market tracks whether S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 24? will occur, with $16K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by available information and market participant behavior.

Traders lean toward S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 24? at 76%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.

Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $16K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.

This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-07-24. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.

Total Volume
$16K
Liquidity
$799

FAQ

What are the current odds for S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 24??

As of Jul 24, 2026 at 07:25 UTC, the leading outcome is S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 24? at 76% probability, with $16K in total trading volume on Polymarket.

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