No clear favorite. Rory McIlroy leads at just 36%. Many possible outcomes.
High Volume — $116.3M traded| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rory McIlroy | 36% | +182% | $3.5M |
| 2 | Cameron Young | 28% | +258% | $4.4M |
| 3 | Sam Burns | 11% | +809% | $1.4M |
| 4 | Scottie Scheffler | 9% | +981% | $3.6M |
| 5 | Justin Rose | 6% | +1539% | $2.0M |
| 6 | Shane Lowry BEST VALUE | 6% | +1581% | $7.4M |
| 7 | Jason Day | 3% | +3075% | $4.3M |
| 8 | Hao-Tong Li | 1% | +11665% | $893K |
| 9 | Patrick Reed | 1% | +14186% | $1.4M |
| 10 | Russell Henley | 1% | +18082% | $1.6M |
| 11 | Patrick Cantlay | 1% | +18082% | $867K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament. If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament,...
This prediction market tracks whether The Masters 2026: Winner will occur, with $116.3M in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
No clear favorite has emerged — Rory McIlroy leads at only 36% across 11 possible outcomes. Markets with this level of uncertainty typically offer the highest potential returns but also carry the greatest risk.
Recent trading volume of $7.0M in 24 hours shows healthy market activity. Active markets tend to produce more accurate probability estimates, as continuous trading ensures prices quickly incorporate new information.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-04-13. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Apr 12, 2026 at 17:30 UTC, the leading outcome is Rory McIlroy at 36% probability, with $116.3M in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $116.3M, with $7.0M traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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