The market strongly favors >2M at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
High Volume — $2.3M traded| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | >2M | 100% | - | $9K |
| 2 | >4M | 100% | - | $23K |
| 3 | >6M | 100% | - | $77K |
| 4 | >8M | 100% | - | $5K |
| 5 | >10M | 100% | - | $10K |
| 6 | >12M | 100% | - | $3K |
| 7 | >14M | 100% | - | $14K |
| 8 | >16M | 100% | - | $18K |
| 9 | >18M | 100% | - | $12K |
| 10 | >20M | 100% | - | $92K |
| 11 | >25M | 100% | - | $294K |
| 12 | >30M | 100% | - | $704K |
| 13 | >27.5M | 100% | - | $32K |
| 14 | >32.5M | 100% | - | $266K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to "Yes" if total commitments for the Credible raise on MetaDAO exceeds the number specified in the title before the raise closes. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". The res...
This prediction market tracks whether Total commitments for the Credible public sale on MetaDAO will occur, with $2.3M in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by cryptocurrency market dynamics, regulatory developments, and on-chain sentiment.
The market shows strong consensus: >2M is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Recent trading volume of $125K in 24 hours shows healthy market activity. Active markets tend to produce more accurate probability estimates, as continuous trading ensures prices quickly incorporate new information.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-08-31. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jul 18, 2026 at 16:55 UTC, the leading outcome is >2M at 100% probability, with $2.3M in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $2.3M, with $125K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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