The market strongly favors >3M at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | >3M | 100% | +0% | $4K |
| 2 | >4M | 100% | +0% | $8K |
| 3 | >2.5M | 99% | +1% | $799 |
| 4 | >4.5M | 98% | +2% | $546 |
| 5 | >3.5M | 94% | +6% | $898 |
| 6 | >5M | 90% | +12% | $563 |
| 7 | >5.5M BEST VALUE | 71% | +41% | $479 |
| 8 | >6M | 71% | +41% | $3K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to "Yes" if total commitments for the Squid raise on both Legion and Kraken exceeds the number specified in the title before the raise closes. Otherwise, it will resolve to "N...
This prediction market tracks whether Total commitments for the Squid public sale on Legion and Kraken will occur, with $18K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by cryptocurrency market dynamics, regulatory developments, and on-chain sentiment.
The market shows strong consensus: >3M is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $18K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-08-01. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jul 02, 2026 at 15:05 UTC, the leading outcome is >3M at 100% probability, with $18K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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