The market strongly favors Alden Coria vs. Stewart Nicoll at 88%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alden Coria vs. Stewart Nicoll | 88% | +14% | $18K |
| 2 | O/U 1.5 Rounds | 61% | +64% | $335 |
| 3 | O/U 0.5 Rounds | 56% | +77% | - |
| 4 | Fight won by KO/TKO? | 50% | +100% | $189 |
| 5 | Coria to win by KO/TKO? | 43% | +133% | $472 |
| 6 | O/U 2.5 Rounds | 41% | +144% | - |
| 7 | Fight to Go the Distance? | 32% | +217% | - |
| 8 | Fight won by submission? | 31% | +223% | $520 |
| 9 | Nicoll to win by KO/TKO? BEST VALUE | 6% | +1438% | $258 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to "Alden Coria" if Alden Coria is officially declared the winner of the fight against Stewart Nicoll at UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs. Usman, scheduled for July 18, 2026. I...
This prediction market tracks whether UFC Fight Night: Alden Coria vs. Stewart Nicoll (Flyweight, Prelims) will occur, with $20K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Alden Coria vs. Stewart Nicoll is priced at 88%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $16K traded in the last 24 hours alone (80% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-07-19. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jul 18, 2026 at 02:35 UTC, the leading outcome is Alden Coria vs. Stewart Nicoll at 88% probability, with $20K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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