The market strongly favors O/U 0.5 Rounds at 86%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | O/U 0.5 Rounds | 86% | +17% | $417 |
| 2 | O/U 1.5 Rounds | 72% | +39% | - |
| 3 | O/U 2.5 Rounds | 64% | +57% | $52 |
| 4 | Fight to Go the Distance? | 56% | +80% | $238 |
| 5 | Charles Johnson vs. Eduardo Chapolin | 50% | +98% | $17K |
| 6 | Fight won by KO/TKO? | 29% | +245% | $106 |
| 7 | Chapolin to win by KO/TKO? | 20% | +400% | - |
| 8 | Fight won by submission? | 18% | +441% | - |
| 9 | Johnson to win by KO/TKO? BEST VALUE | 16% | +525% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to "Charles Johnson" if Charles Johnson is officially declared the winner of the fight against Eduardo Chapolin at UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry, scheduled for August 1...
This prediction market tracks whether UFC 330: Charles Johnson vs. Eduardo Chapolin (Catchweight, Prelims) will occur, with $18K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: O/U 0.5 Rounds is priced at 86%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $18K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-08-16. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 14, 2026 at 21:05 UTC, the leading outcome is O/U 0.5 Rounds at 86% probability, with $18K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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