O/U 0.5 Rounds leads at 81%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | O/U 0.5 Rounds | 81% | +23% | - |
| 2 | O/U 1.5 Rounds | 56% | +80% | $9K |
| 3 | Abdul-Malik to win by KO/TKO? | 53% | +89% | $5 |
| 4 | Fight won by KO/TKO? | 50% | +98% | $1 |
| 5 | O/U 2.5 Rounds | 42% | +141% | - |
| 6 | Fight to Go the Distance? | 36% | +182% | $1K |
| 7 | Fight won by submission? | 18% | +471% | - |
| 8 | Dustin Stoltzfus vs. Mansur Abdul-Malik BEST VALUE | 15% | +567% | $14K |
| 9 | Stoltzfus to win by KO/TKO? | 3% | +3075% | $210 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to "Dustin Stoltzfus" if Dustin Stoltzfus is officially declared the winner of the fight against Mansur Abdul-Malik at UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry, scheduled for Augu...
This prediction market tracks whether UFC 330: Dustin Stoltzfus vs. Mansur Abdul-Malik (Middleweight, Prelims) will occur, with $25K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward O/U 0.5 Rounds at 81%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $14K traded in the last 24 hours alone (56% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-08-16. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 15, 2026 at 06:15 UTC, the leading outcome is O/U 0.5 Rounds at 81% probability, with $25K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
What Are Prediction Markets? · How to Trade · Odds Calculator · Compare Platforms