O/U 0.5 Rounds leads at 84%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | O/U 0.5 Rounds | 84% | +20% | $1 |
| 2 | O/U 1.5 Rounds | 75% | +33% | - |
| 3 | O/U 2.5 Rounds | 62% | +61% | $279 |
| 4 | Gauge Young vs. Stan Dorsainvil | 60% | +65% | $29K |
| 5 | Fight to Go the Distance? | 56% | +77% | - |
| 6 | Fight won by KO/TKO? | 28% | +257% | - |
| 7 | Young to win by KO/TKO? | 24% | +326% | $6 |
| 8 | Fight won by submission? | 13% | +669% | - |
| 9 | Dorsainvil to win by KO/TKO? BEST VALUE | 9% | +1011% | $128 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to "Gauge Young" if Gauge Young is officially declared the winner of the fight against Stan Dorsainvil at UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues, scheduled for August 22, 20...
This prediction market tracks whether UFC Fight Night: Gauge Young vs. Stan Dorsainvil (Lightweight, Prelims) will occur, with $30K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward O/U 0.5 Rounds at 84%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $15K traded in the last 24 hours alone (51% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-08-23. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 22, 2026 at 04:15 UTC, the leading outcome is O/U 0.5 Rounds at 84% probability, with $30K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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