O/U 3.5 Rounds leads at 70%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | O/U 3.5 Rounds | 70% | +42% | - |
| 2 | Mackenzie Dern vs. Gillian Robertson | 66% | +53% | $12K |
| 3 | O/U 0.5 Rounds | 56% | +77% | $1 |
| 4 | O/U 2.5 Rounds | 55% | +82% | - |
| 5 | O/U 1.5 Rounds | 55% | +83% | - |
| 6 | O/U 4.5 Rounds | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | Fight won by KO/TKO? | 44% | +127% | - |
| 8 | Robertson to win by KO/TKO? | 44% | +127% | - |
| 9 | Fight won by submission? | 44% | +127% | - |
| 10 | Fight to Go the Distance? BEST VALUE | 44% | +130% | - |
| 11 | Dern to win by KO/TKO? | 44% | +130% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to "Mackenzie Dern" if Mackenzie Dern is officially declared the winner of the fight against Gillian Robertson at UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry, scheduled for August 15...
This prediction market tracks whether UFC 330: Mackenzie Dern vs. Gillian Robertson (Women's Strawweight, Main Card) will occur, with $12K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward O/U 3.5 Rounds at 70%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $9K traded in the last 24 hours alone (77% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-08-16. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 11, 2026 at 00:05 UTC, the leading outcome is O/U 3.5 Rounds at 70% probability, with $12K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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