O/U 3.5 Rounds leads at 62%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | O/U 3.5 Rounds | 62% | +63% | - |
| 2 | O/U 0.5 Rounds | 60% | +68% | - |
| 3 | O/U 1.5 Rounds | 55% | +82% | - |
| 4 | O/U 2.5 Rounds | 54% | +85% | - |
| 5 | Decision or Draw | 50% | +98% | - |
| 6 | Fight won by KO/TKO? | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | Barcelos to win by KO/TKO? | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | Rosas Jr. to win by KO/TKO? | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | Fight won by submission? | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | Fight won by decision? | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | Ends before Round 2? | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | Ends before Round 3? | 50% | +100% | - |
| 13 | Ends before Round 4? | 50% | +100% | - |
| 14 | Ends before Round 5? | 50% | +100% | - |
| 15 | Rosas Jr. in Round 1 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 16 | Rosas Jr. in Round 3 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 17 | Rosas Jr. in Round 4 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 18 | Barcelos in Round 1 BEST VALUE | 50% | +102% | - |
| 19 | Barcelos in Round 3 | 50% | +102% | - |
| 20 | Barcelos in Round 4 | 50% | +102% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to "Raoni Barcelos" if Raoni Barcelos is officially declared the winner of the fight against Raul Rosas Jr. at UFC Fight Night: Rosas Jr. vs. Barcelos, scheduled for September...
This prediction market tracks whether UFC Fight Night: Raoni Barcelos vs. Raul Rosas Jr. (Bantamweight, Main Card) will occur, with $17K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward O/U 3.5 Rounds at 62%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $15K traded in the last 24 hours alone (88% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-09-27. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Sep 22, 2026 at 02:05 UTC, the leading outcome is O/U 3.5 Rounds at 62% probability, with $17K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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