O/U 0.5 Rounds leads at 71%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | O/U 0.5 Rounds | 71% | +41% | - |
| 2 | O/U 1.5 Rounds | 60% | +68% | - |
| 3 | Fight won by KO/TKO? | 58% | +72% | - |
| 4 | Ends before Round 3? | 48% | +111% | - |
| 5 | Diniz to win by KO/TKO? | 46% | +117% | - |
| 6 | O/U 2.5 Rounds | 46% | +117% | $370 |
| 7 | Decision or Draw | 42% | +141% | - |
| 8 | Fight won by decision? | 40% | +147% | - |
| 9 | Fight to Go the Distance? | 39% | +156% | $556 |
| 10 | Tanner Boser vs. Jhonata Diniz | 34% | +199% | $16K |
| 11 | Diniz in Round 1 | 33% | +203% | - |
| 12 | Diniz in Round 2 | 31% | +223% | - |
| 13 | Boser to win by KO/TKO? | 30% | +239% | - |
| 14 | Diniz in Round 3 | 28% | +264% | - |
| 15 | Boser in Round 1 | 26% | +277% | - |
| 16 | Boser in Round 2 | 26% | +277% | - |
| 17 | Boser in Round 3 | 26% | +277% | - |
| 18 | Fight won by submission? | 26% | +292% | - |
| 19 | Ends before Round 2? BEST VALUE | 25% | +300% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to "Tanner Boser" if Tanner Boser is officially declared the winner of the fight against Jhonata Diniz at UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott, scheduled for October 17, 2026....
This prediction market tracks whether UFC Fight Night: Tanner Boser vs. Jhonata Diniz (Heavyweight, Prelims) will occur, with $17K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward O/U 0.5 Rounds at 71%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $14K traded in the last 24 hours alone (82% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-10-18. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Oct 16, 2026 at 19:45 UTC, the leading outcome is O/U 0.5 Rounds at 71% probability, with $17K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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