No clear favorite. 40.0–42.9 leads at just 27%. Many possible outcomes.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 40.0–42.9 | 27% | +274% | $15K |
| 2 | 43.0–45.9 | 24% | +308% | $12K |
| 3 | 46.0–48.9 | 24% | +317% | $16K |
| 4 | 49.0–51.9 | 17% | +490% | $10K |
| 5 | <40.0 BEST VALUE | 7% | +1371% | $28K |
| 6 | 52.0–54.9 | 4% | +2173% | $4K |
| 7 | ≥55.0 | 2% | +6567% | $3K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for June 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers. This market will resolve to the brac...
This prediction market tracks whether University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment - June 2026 will occur, with $87K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by macroeconomic indicators, central bank signals, and market expectations.
No clear favorite has emerged — 40.0–42.9 leads at only 27% across 7 possible outcomes. Markets with this level of uncertainty typically offer the highest potential returns but also carry the greatest risk.
Recent trading volume of $12K in 24 hours shows healthy market activity. Active markets tend to produce more accurate probability estimates, as continuous trading ensures prices quickly incorporate new information.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-06-26. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jun 11, 2026 at 21:55 UTC, the leading outcome is 40.0–42.9 at 27% probability, with $87K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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