The market strongly favors O/U 0.5 at 93%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | O/U 0.5 | 93% | +8% | $19 |
| 2 | Paris Saint-Germain O/U 0.5 | 82% | +21% | - |
| 3 | O/U 1.5 | 76% | +31% | $79 |
| 4 | 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 71% | +41% | - |
| 5 | Aston Villa O/U 0.5 | 62% | +60% | - |
| 6 | Paris Saint-Germain 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 62% | +61% | - |
| 7 | Paris Saint-Germain 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 55% | +83% | - |
| 8 | Both Teams to Score | 54% | +85% | $47 |
| 9 | 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 52% | +92% | - |
| 10 | O/U 2.5 | 52% | +94% | $3K |
| 11 | Paris Saint-Germain O/U 1.5 | 51% | +96% | $1K |
| 12 | 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 50% | +102% | - |
| 13 | Aston Villa 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 49% | +104% | - |
| 14 | Aston Villa 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 48% | +106% | - |
| 15 | 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 48% | +108% | - |
| 16 | Both Teams to Score in Second Half | 48% | +111% | - |
| 17 | Aston Villa 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 34% | +190% | - |
| 18 | 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 34% | +199% | - |
| 19 | Paris Saint-Germain (-1.5) | 30% | +228% | $1K |
| 20 | O/U 3.5 BEST VALUE | 30% | +239% | $55 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
More markets for the UEFA Super Cup game, scheduled for August 12 at 3:00 PM ET.
This prediction market tracks whether Paris Saint-Germain vs. Aston Villa - More Markets will occur, with $13K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: O/U 0.5 is priced at 93%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $12K traded in the last 24 hours alone (97% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-08-12. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 11, 2026 at 05:55 UTC, the leading outcome is O/U 0.5 at 93% probability, with $13K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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