Match Winner leads at 66%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Match Winner | 66% | +53% | $30K |
| 2 | Map 1 Winner | 60% | +67% | $72 |
| 3 | Map 2 Winner | 60% | +67% | $8 |
| 4 | Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 59% | +69% | - |
| 5 | Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 59% | +69% | - |
| 6 | Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 58% | +71% | - |
| 7 | Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% | +102% | - |
| 9 | Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% | +102% | - |
| 10 | Map 3 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-2.5) vs G2 Esports (+2.5) | 46% | +115% | - |
| 11 | O/U 2.5 Games | 46% | +117% | $185 |
| 12 | Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-2.5) vs G2 Esports (+2.5) | 46% | +117% | - |
| 13 | Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-2.5) vs G2 Esports (+2.5) | 46% | +120% | - |
| 14 | Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 40% | +147% | $499 |
| 15 | Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 38% | +163% | - |
| 16 | Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs G2 Esports (+1.5) BEST VALUE | 38% | +167% | $160 |
| 17 | Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 38% | +167% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the Valorant Upper Bracket Quarterfinal 1 match between 100 Thieves and G2 Esports in the VCT Champions Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 8, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET. This mar...
This prediction market tracks whether Valorant: 100 Thieves vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs will occur, with $31K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward Match Winner at 66%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $26K traded in the last 24 hours alone (83% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-10-08. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Oct 07, 2026 at 15:15 UTC, the leading outcome is Match Winner at 66% probability, with $31K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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