Match Winner leads at 68%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Match Winner | 68% | +46% | $30K |
| 2 | Map 1 Winner | 64% | +57% | $159 |
| 3 | Map 2 Winner | 64% | +57% | $6 |
| 4 | Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 60% | +67% | - |
| 5 | Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 60% | +67% | - |
| 6 | Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 58% | +72% | - |
| 7 | Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-2.5) vs Eintracht Frankfurt (+2.5) | 49% | +104% | - |
| 9 | Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 49% | +104% | - |
| 10 | Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-2.5) vs Eintracht Frankfurt (+2.5) | 49% | +104% | - |
| 11 | Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-2.5) vs Eintracht Frankfurt (+2.5) | 48% | +106% | - |
| 12 | Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 48% | +108% | - |
| 13 | O/U 2.5 Games | 46% | +120% | - |
| 14 | Map Handicap: M8 (-1.5) vs Eintracht Frankfurt (+1.5) | 40% | +147% | $1K |
| 15 | Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 40% | +150% | $9 |
| 16 | Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 BEST VALUE | 36% | +178% | - |
| 17 | Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 36% | +178% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the Valorant Lower bracket round 1 match between Gentle Mates and Eintracht Frankfurt in the VCT EMEA Play-Ins, initially scheduled for August 12 at 11:00AM ET. This market will...
This prediction market tracks whether Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Eintracht Frankfurt (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Ins will occur, with $31K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward Match Winner at 68%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $31K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-08-12. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 11, 2026 at 19:05 UTC, the leading outcome is Match Winner at 68% probability, with $31K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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