Map 2 Winner leads at 62%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Map 2 Winner | 62% | +63% | $108 |
| 2 | O/U 2.5 Games | 58% | +71% | $265 |
| 3 | Match Winner | 54% | +87% | $75K |
| 4 | Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 50% | +98% | - |
| 5 | Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 6 | Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-2.5) vs XLG Gaming (+2.5) | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 13 | Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-3.5) vs XLG Gaming (+3.5) | 50% | +100% | - |
| 14 | Map 1 Rounds Handicap: XLG Gaming (-2.5) vs Gentle Mates (+2.5) | 50% | +100% | - |
| 15 | Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% | +102% | - |
| 16 | Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-2.5) vs XLG Gaming (+2.5) | 50% | +102% | - |
| 17 | Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-2.5) vs XLG Gaming (+2.5) | 48% | +108% | - |
| 18 | Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 48% | +108% | - |
| 19 | Map 1 Winner BEST VALUE | 40% | +153% | $10K |
| 20 | Map Handicap: GM (-1.5) vs XLG Gaming (+1.5) | 40% | +153% | $1K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the Valorant match between Gentle Mates and XLG Gaming in the Esports World Cup Group C, initially scheduled for July 3 at 9:45AM ET. This market will resolve to "Gentle Mates"...
This prediction market tracks whether Valorant: Gentle Mates vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group C will occur, with $84K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward Map 2 Winner at 62%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $71K traded in the last 24 hours alone (85% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-07-03. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jul 03, 2026 at 13:25 UTC, the leading outcome is Map 2 Winner at 62% probability, with $84K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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