The market strongly favors Map 1 Winner at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Map 1 Winner | 100% | +0% | $94K |
| 2 | Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 100% | +0% | $15 |
| 3 | Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 100% | +0% | $65 |
| 4 | Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% | +0% | $65 |
| 5 | Map 1 Rounds Handicap: JD Gaming (-2.5) vs Trace Esports (+2.5) | 100% | +0% | $72 |
| 6 | Match Winner | 82% | +21% | $131K |
| 7 | Map Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs Trace Esports (+1.5) | 64% | +56% | $4K |
| 8 | Map 2 Winner | 60% | +65% | $65K |
| 9 | Map 3 Rounds Handicap: JD Gaming (-2.5) vs Trace Esports (+2.5) | 60% | +65% | $1K |
| 10 | Map 2 Rounds Handicap: JD Gaming (-2.5) vs Trace Esports (+2.5) | 60% | +67% | - |
| 11 | Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% | +98% | - |
| 12 | Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 50% | +100% | $116 |
| 13 | Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 14 | Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 15 | Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 16 | Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 17 | Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 18 | O/U 2.5 Games BEST VALUE | 36% | +178% | $2K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the Valorant match between JD Gaming and Trace Esports in the VCT China Stage 2 Group Alpha, initially scheduled for July 21 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "JD Gaming...
This prediction market tracks whether Valorant: JD Gaming vs Trace Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Alpha will occur, with $294K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Map 1 Winner is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $294K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-07-21. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jul 21, 2026 at 10:35 UTC, the leading outcome is Map 1 Winner at 100% probability, with $294K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $294K, with $294K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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