Match Winner leads at 62%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Match Winner | 62% | +60% | $23K |
| 2 | Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 62% | +63% | - |
| 3 | Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 62% | +63% | - |
| 4 | Map 1 Winner | 59% | +69% | $109 |
| 5 | Map 2 Winner | 58% | +71% | - |
| 6 | Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 56% | +79% | - |
| 7 | Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% | +98% | - |
| 8 | Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% | +98% | - |
| 9 | Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% | +102% | - |
| 10 | O/U 2.5 Games | 48% | +111% | $903 |
| 11 | Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-2.5) vs MIBR (+2.5) | 46% | +120% | - |
| 12 | Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-2.5) vs MIBR (+2.5) | 44% | +125% | $108 |
| 13 | Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-2.5) vs MIBR (+2.5) | 44% | +127% | - |
| 14 | Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 42% | +135% | - |
| 15 | Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 38% | +160% | - |
| 16 | Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 38% | +160% | - |
| 17 | Map Handicap: LEV (-1.5) vs MIBR (+1.5) BEST VALUE | 36% | +174% | $457 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the Valorant match between Leviatán Esports and MIBR in the VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha, initially scheduled for August 8 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Leviatá...
This prediction market tracks whether Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha will occur, with $25K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward Match Winner at 62%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $24K traded in the last 24 hours alone (98% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-08-09. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 08, 2026 at 20:35 UTC, the leading outcome is Match Winner at 62% probability, with $25K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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