The market strongly favors Map 1 Rounds Handicap: EDward Gaming (-3.5) vs Trace Esports (+3.5) at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Map 1 Rounds Handicap: EDward Gaming (-3.5) vs Trace Esports (+3.5) | 100% | +0% | $1K |
| 2 | Map 1 Rounds Handicap: EDward Gaming (-4.5) vs Trace Esports (+4.5) | 100% | +1% | $147 |
| 3 | Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 76% | +32% | $5 |
| 4 | Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 76% | +32% | $7 |
| 5 | Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 75% | +33% | $285 |
| 6 | Map Handicap: EDG (-1.5) vs Trace Esports (+1.5) | 56% | +77% | $8K |
| 7 | Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% | +98% | $5 |
| 8 | Map 3 Rounds Handicap: EDward Gaming (-3.5) vs Trace Esports (+3.5) | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% | +100% | $520 |
| 10 | Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | Map 3 Rounds Handicap: EDward Gaming (-4.5) vs Trace Esports (+4.5) | 50% | +100% | $23 |
| 12 | Map 2 Winner | 48% | +111% | $22K |
| 13 | O/U 2.5 Games | 30% | +228% | $3K |
| 14 | Map 2 Rounds Handicap: EDward Gaming (-3.5) vs Trace Esports (+3.5) | 24% | +308% | $1K |
| 15 | Map 2 Rounds Handicap: EDward Gaming (-4.5) vs Trace Esports (+4.5) | 24% | +308% | $544 |
| 16 | Match Winner BEST VALUE | 14% | +641% | $27K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the Valorant match between Trace Esports and EDward Gaming in the VCT China Stage 2 Group Alpha, initially scheduled for July 17 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Trace...
This prediction market tracks whether Valorant: Trace Esports vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Alpha will occur, with $61K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Map 1 Rounds Handicap: EDward Gaming (-3.5) vs Trace Esports (+3.5) is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $61K traded in the last 24 hours alone (99% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-07-17. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jul 17, 2026 at 15:15 UTC, the leading outcome is Map 1 Rounds Handicap: EDward Gaming (-3.5) vs Trace Esports (+3.5) at 100% probability, with $61K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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