Amanda Janoo leads at 62%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Amanda Janoo | 62% | +61% | $12K |
| 2 | Aly Richards | 34% | +194% | $12K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Vermont, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the pr...
This prediction market tracks whether Vermont Governor Democratic Primary Winner will occur, with $110K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by polling data, political developments, and historical voting patterns.
Traders lean toward Amanda Janoo at 62%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Recent trading volume of $12K in 24 hours shows healthy market activity. Active markets tend to produce more accurate probability estimates, as continuous trading ensures prices quickly incorporate new information.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-08-11. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 11, 2026 at 17:55 UTC, the leading outcome is Amanda Janoo at 62% probability, with $110K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $110K, with $12K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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