The market strongly favors ↑ $420 at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ↑ $420 | 100% | - | $337 |
| 2 | ↑ $405 | 100% | - | $1K |
| 3 | ↑ $390 | 100% | - | $7K |
| 4 | ↑ $375 | 100% | - | $2K |
| 5 | ↓ $360 | 100% | - | $4K |
| 6 | ↓ $345 | 100% | - | $3K |
| 7 | ↓ $330 | 100% | - | $2K |
| 8 | ↓ $315 | 100% | - | $10K |
| 9 | ↓ $300 | 46% | +116% | $15K |
| 10 | ↓ $285 | 25% | +297% | $16K |
| 11 | ↓ $270 BEST VALUE | 7% | +1329% | $10K |
| 12 | ↑ $450 | 1% | +6797% | $4K |
| 13 | ↑ $435 | 1% | +6797% | $2K |
| 14 | ↑ $465 | 1% | +8233% | $3K |
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What will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit in July 2026?
This prediction market tracks whether What will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit in July 2026? will occur, with $80K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by available information and market participant behavior.
The market shows strong consensus: ↑ $420 is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Recent trading volume of $10K in 24 hours shows healthy market activity. Active markets tend to produce more accurate probability estimates, as continuous trading ensures prices quickly incorporate new information.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-08-01. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jul 24, 2026 at 20:35 UTC, the leading outcome is ↑ $420 at 100% probability, with $80K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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