The market strongly favors Prophecy at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Prophecy | 100% | - | $3K |
| 2 | Mercy | 100% | - | $882 |
| 3 | Queen 10+ times | 100% | +0% | $659 |
| 4 | Sword | 100% | +0% | $241 |
| 5 | Power | 100% | +0% | $386 |
| 6 | Surrender | 100% | +0% | $1K |
| 7 | Storm | 98% | +2% | $895 |
| 8 | Kingdom | 97% | +3% | $737 |
| 9 | Council | 97% | +3% | $2K |
| 10 | Conquest | 49% | +104% | $1K |
| 11 | Dragon 20+ times | 30% | +233% | $858 |
| 12 | Grace 20+ times | 27% | +264% | $711 |
| 13 | Prayer BEST VALUE | 14% | +638% | $258 |
| 14 | Lesson | 4% | +2369% | $177 |
| 15 | Wine | 3% | +3822% | $1K |
| 16 | War 8+ times | 2% | +3900% | $813 |
| 17 | Marriage | 2% | +3900% | $2K |
| 18 | Death 5+ times | 2% | +6352% | $673 |
| 19 | Raven | 2% | +6352% | $146 |
| 20 | God 5+ times | 1% | +18082% | $763 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
Episode 6 of House of the Dragon Season 3 is scheduled to air on July 26, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if anyone says the listed term during the specified episode of House of the Dragon....
This prediction market tracks whether What will be said during the sixth episode of House of the Dragon: Season 3? will occur, with $19K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by social media trends, industry insider signals, and historical patterns.
The market shows strong consensus: Prophecy is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $13K traded in the last 24 hours alone (69% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-07-26. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jul 27, 2026 at 03:55 UTC, the leading outcome is Prophecy at 100% probability, with $19K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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