Tires: Season 3 leads at 84%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tires: Season 3 | 84% | +19% | $7K |
| 2 | Show A | 50% | +100% | - |
| 3 | Show B | 50% | +100% | - |
| 4 | Show C | 50% | +100% | - |
| 5 | Show D | 50% | +100% | - |
| 6 | Show E | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | Show F | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | Show G | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | Other | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | Conversations with a Killer: The Charles Manson Tapes: Season 1 BEST VALUE | 14% | +590% | $4K |
| 11 | My Life With the Walter Boys: Season 3 | 2% | +6567% | $978 |
| 12 | The Idaho Murders: College Nightmare: Season 1 | 1% | +9900% | $1K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 18, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will...
This prediction market tracks whether What will be the #2 US Netflix show this week? will occur, with $15K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by social media trends, industry insider signals, and historical patterns.
Traders lean toward Tires: Season 3 at 84%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $12K traded in the last 24 hours alone (79% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-08-18. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 15, 2026 at 02:15 UTC, the leading outcome is Tires: Season 3 at 84% probability, with $15K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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