The market strongly favors ↓ 3.5% at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
High Volume — $1.8M traded| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ↓ 3.5% | 100% | - | $9K |
| 2 | ↑ 4.25% | 17% | +497% | $115K |
| 3 | ↓ 3.25% BEST VALUE | 10% | +953% | $80K |
| 4 | ↓ 2.25% | 4% | +2226% | $39K |
| 5 | ↓ 1.5% | 4% | +2497% | $28K |
| 6 | ↑ 4.75% | 4% | +2532% | $80K |
| 7 | ↓ 0.75% | 4% | +2603% | $731 |
| 8 | ↓ 2.5% | 4% | +2640% | $207K |
| 9 | ↓ 1.0% | 4% | +2717% | $2K |
| 10 | ↓ 2.0% | 3% | +2841% | $19K |
| 11 | ↓ 0.25% | 3% | +3025% | $131K |
| 12 | ↑ 5.0% | 3% | +3126% | $17K |
| 13 | ↑ 4.5% | 3% | +3126% | $32K |
| 14 | ↑ 5.5% | 3% | +3604% | $52K |
| 15 | ↓ 3.0% | 3% | +3604% | $310K |
| 16 | ↑ 5.25% | 3% | +3674% | $142K |
| 17 | ↓ 1.75% | 3% | +3746% | $12K |
| 18 | ↓ 0% | 3% | +3822% | $19K |
| 19 | ↓ 2.75% | 3% | +3822% | $357K |
| 20 | ↓ 0.5% | 2% | +4778% | $105K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market...
This prediction market tracks whether What will Fed Rate hit before 2027? will occur, with $1.8M in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by polling data, political developments, and historical voting patterns.
The market shows strong consensus: ↓ 3.5% is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
The market has seen $21K in 24-hour volume, suggesting a period of relative calm. Lower activity periods can present value opportunities for traders who spot mispriced odds before the broader market reacts.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-12-31. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 13, 2026 at 10:45 UTC, the leading outcome is ↓ 3.5% at 100% probability, with $1.8M in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $1.8M, with $21K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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