The market strongly favors Sleep / Sleeping at 90%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sleep / Sleeping | 90% | +12% | $465 |
| 2 | Prize | 87% | +15% | $423 |
| 3 | Red Line | 82% | +21% | $835 |
| 4 | Contestant | 82% | +21% | $2K |
| 5 | Dollar 5+ times | 81% | +23% | $1K |
| 6 | Feastables | 79% | +27% | $11K |
| 7 | Hundred / Thousand / Million 10+ times | 68% | +47% | $162 |
| 8 | Time 5+ times | 66% | +52% | $5 |
| 9 | Insane | 26% | +292% | $532 |
| 10 | Subscribe / Subscribed | 22% | +344% | $5K |
| 11 | Chandler | 22% | +355% | $709 |
| 12 | Grocery Store | 16% | +545% | $117 |
| 13 | Sponsor / Sponsored / Sponsoring | 14% | +590% | $864 |
| 14 | Wife | 13% | +669% | $1K |
| 15 | Market / Supermarket | 12% | +700% | $549 |
| 16 | Karl | 11% | +809% | $2K |
| 17 | Wedding / Married BEST VALUE | 8% | +1150% | $153 |
| 18 | AI / Artificial Intelligence | 8% | +1150% | $333 |
| 19 | -No Qualifying Event- | 2% | +4551% | $185 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
MrBeast releases videos on https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mr Beast says the listed term during the next video he releases on YouTube. Otherwise, the market wil...
This prediction market tracks whether What will MrBeast say during his next YouTube video? will occur, with $28K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by social media trends, industry insider signals, and historical patterns.
The market shows strong consensus: Sleep / Sleeping is priced at 90%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $19K traded in the last 24 hours alone (69% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-08-31. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 06, 2026 at 00:05 UTC, the leading outcome is Sleep / Sleeping at 90% probability, with $28K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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