No clear favorite. $446K - $454K leads at just 33%. Many possible outcomes.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | $446K - $454K | 33% | +203% | $3K |
| 2 | $454K - $462K | 26% | +277% | $2K |
| 3 | <$446K | 22% | +365% | $4K |
| 4 | $470K - $478K | 11% | +797% | $2K |
| 5 | $486K+ | 8% | +1076% | $5K |
| 6 | $462K - $470K BEST VALUE | 8% | +1150% | $2K |
| 7 | $478K - $486K | 4% | +2147% | $1K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Austin, Texas Metro area on September 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, the...
This prediction market tracks whether What will the median home value in the Austin Metro area be on September 30? will occur, with $18K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by macroeconomic indicators, central bank signals, and market expectations.
No clear favorite has emerged — $446K - $454K leads at only 33% across 7 possible outcomes. Markets with this level of uncertainty typically offer the highest potential returns but also carry the greatest risk.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $8K traded in the last 24 hours alone (46% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-09-30. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 01, 2026 at 03:35 UTC, the leading outcome is $446K - $454K at 33% probability, with $18K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
What Are Prediction Markets? · How to Trade · Odds Calculator · Compare Platforms