The market strongly favors Gemini Hydrogen at 88%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
Low Liquidity — trade with caution| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gemini Hydrogen | 88% | +14% | $5K |
| 2 | Other BEST VALUE | 50% | +100% | - |
| 3 | Placeholder 1 | 50% | +100% | - |
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| 9 | Placeholder 7 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | Placeholder 8 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | Placeholder 9 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | Placeholder 10 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 13 | Placeholder 11 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 14 | Placeholder 12 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 15 | Placeholder 13 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 16 | Placeholder 14 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 17 | Placeholder 15 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 18 | Placeholder 16 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 19 | Placeholder 17 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 20 | Placeholder 18 | 50% | +100% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve according to the model family name of the next model Google releases in a new model family, released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. A qualifying release is Google's first...
This prediction market tracks whether What will the next Gemini model family be named? will occur, with $8K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by available information and market participant behavior.
The market shows strong consensus: Gemini Hydrogen is priced at 88%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $8K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2027-01-01. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Nov 12, 2026 at 00:35 UTC, the leading outcome is Gemini Hydrogen at 88% probability, with $8K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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