The market strongly favors President 5+ times at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | President 5+ times | 100% | - | $182 |
| 2 | Turkey / Turkiye 5+ times | 100% | - | $168 |
| 3 | Biden | 100% | - | $948 |
| 4 | Israel | 100% | - | $193 |
| 5 | Iran | 100% | - | $2K |
| 6 | Russia | 100% | - | $168 |
| 7 | Ukraine | 100% | - | $665 |
| 8 | Help | 100% | - | $203 |
| 9 | Oil | 100% | - | $697 |
| 10 | Nuclear | 100% | - | $580 |
| 11 | Deal | 100% | - | $1K |
| 12 | War | 100% | - | $1K |
| 13 | NATO | 100% | - | $472 |
| 14 | Hell | 48% | +111% | $444 |
| 15 | Obama | 38% | +166% | $449 |
| 16 | Peace BEST VALUE | 35% | +185% | $454 |
| 17 | Million / Billion / Trillion 10+ times | 4% | +2199% | $605 |
| 18 | Iraq | 3% | +2885% | $455 |
| 19 | World cup | 3% | +3674% | $1K |
| 20 | Six Seven | 2% | +4344% | $570 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
Donald Trump is scheduled to meet with Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan on July 7, 2026 at 8:15 AM ET (https://x.com/WHPressPool/status/2073953815431168228?s=20). This market will resolve to "...
This prediction market tracks whether What will Trump say during bilateral meeting with Turkish President? will occur, with $15K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by polling data, political developments, and historical voting patterns.
The market shows strong consensus: President 5+ times is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $15K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-07-07. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jul 08, 2026 at 01:25 UTC, the leading outcome is President 5+ times at 100% probability, with $15K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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