The market strongly favors Nazi / Hitler at 86%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nazi / Hitler | 86% | +16% | $4K |
| 2 | Venezuela | 82% | +23% | $21 |
| 3 | Job 20+ times | 70% | +43% | $1K |
| 4 | Million / Billion / Trillion 30+ times | 68% | +47% | $439 |
| 5 | Russia | 63% | +59% | $609 |
| 6 | Fed / Federal Reserve | 61% | +64% | - |
| 7 | AI / Artificial Intelligence | 60% | +65% | $423 |
| 8 | Iran / Israel 10+ times | 60% | +68% | $510 |
| 9 | Hell 3+ times | 58% | +72% | $266 |
| 10 | Transgender | 55% | +82% | $1K |
| 11 | Socialist | 46% | +120% | $324 |
| 12 | Biden / Obama 10+ times | 44% | +125% | $555 |
| 13 | Putin | 44% | +130% | $821 |
| 14 | Coal | 40% | +147% | $63 |
| 15 | Trump Derangement Syndrome | 35% | +186% | $2K |
| 16 | Six Seven | 32% | +208% | $2K |
| 17 | Filibuster | 28% | +257% | $41 |
| 18 | Data Center | 26% | +292% | $82 |
| 19 | Transparent | 24% | +326% | $800 |
| 20 | Bitcoin / Crypto / Cryptocurrency BEST VALUE | 14% | +641% | $21 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
Trump is scheduled to hold a cabinet meeting on July 31, 2026 (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8ytbAVpDBXs&t=62s). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says the listed term during the cabinet...
This prediction market tracks whether What will Trump say during Cabinet Meeting? will occur, with $16K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by polling data, political developments, and historical voting patterns.
The market shows strong consensus: Nazi / Hitler is priced at 86%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $16K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-07-31. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jul 28, 2026 at 08:15 UTC, the leading outcome is Nazi / Hitler at 86% probability, with $16K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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