The market strongly favors Healthcare at 98%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Healthcare | 98% | +3% | $1K |
| 2 | Save America Act | 94% | +6% | $288 |
| 3 | Pipeline | 92% | +9% | $1K |
| 4 | Russia / Ukraine | 86% | +17% | $57 |
| 5 | Oil / Gas / Gasoline 15+ times | 70% | +44% | $26 |
| 6 | California | 70% | +44% | $23 |
| 7 | Joe / Biden 10+ times | 66% | +52% | $115 |
| 8 | Fish / Fishing / Fisherman | 65% | +54% | $535 |
| 9 | Japan | 62% | +63% | $208 |
| 10 | Iran 5+ times | 60% | +68% | $645 |
| 11 | Hormuz | 57% | +74% | $158 |
| 12 | Reagan | 52% | +90% | $509 |
| 13 | Transgender 5+ times | 46% | +120% | $122 |
| 14 | America First | 40% | +153% | $173 |
| 15 | Israel / Israeli | 38% | +163% | $394 |
| 16 | Spoiler | 38% | +167% | $862 |
| 17 | Mask | 38% | +167% | $774 |
| 18 | Hell 15+ times | 34% | +199% | $667 |
| 19 | SI / Super Intelligence 3+ times BEST VALUE | 23% | +335% | $344 |
| 20 | AI / Artificial Intelligence | 23% | +335% | $232 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
Donald Trump is scheduled to give remarks during his Midterm Rally in Wasilla, Alaska on October 13, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET. (https://events.gop.com/events/midterm-rally-in-wasilla-alaska-president-donald...
This prediction market tracks whether What will Trump say during his Midterm Rally in Alaska? will occur, with $12K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by polling data, political developments, and historical voting patterns.
The market shows strong consensus: Healthcare is priced at 98%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $12K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-10-13. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Oct 13, 2026 at 06:35 UTC, the leading outcome is Healthcare at 98% probability, with $12K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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