The market strongly favors 1776 at 88%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
Low Liquidity — trade with caution| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1776 | 88% | +13% | $114 |
| 2 | Depression | 87% | +15% | $625 |
| 3 | SI / Super Intelligence 2+ times | 76% | +32% | $381 |
| 4 | Micron | 74% | +35% | $144 |
| 5 | Zohran/Mamdani | 74% | +35% | $2K |
| 6 | Union | 70% | +44% | $37 |
| 7 | Crime / Criminal 10+ times | 68% | +48% | $350 |
| 8 | AOC | 61% | +64% | $508 |
| 9 | Electricity / Electric | 59% | +69% | $119 |
| 10 | Buffalo | 53% | +89% | $428 |
| 11 | Clay | 51% | +96% | $309 |
| 12 | Pipeline | 44% | +130% | $604 |
| 13 | Gulf of America | 29% | +245% | $1K |
| 14 | Data Center | 26% | +277% | $1K |
| 15 | Six Seven BEST VALUE | 7% | +1329% | $52 |
| 16 | Bitcoin / Crypto / Cryptocurrency | 3% | +3604% | $459 |
| 17 | -No Qualifying Event- | 1% | +11011% | $1K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
Donald Trump is scheduled to give remarks during his Midterm Rally in Syracuse, New York on October 9, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. (https://events.gop.com/events/midterm-rally-in-syracuse-ny-president-donald-...
This prediction market tracks whether What will Trump say during his Midterm Rally in New York? will occur, with $10K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by polling data, political developments, and historical voting patterns.
The market shows strong consensus: 1776 is priced at 88%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $10K traded in the last 24 hours alone (99% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-10-09. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Oct 09, 2026 at 02:55 UTC, the leading outcome is 1776 at 88% probability, with $10K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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