Tax 20+ times leads at 75%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tax 20+ times | 75% | +33% | - |
| 2 | Russia / Ukraine | 67% | +49% | $3K |
| 3 | SI / Super Intelligence | 66% | +53% | $2K |
| 4 | Crime / Criminal 12+ times | 64% | +57% | $206 |
| 5 | Biden / Kamala / Obama 15+ times | 61% | +64% | $748 |
| 6 | Aluminum / Steel | 59% | +69% | $682 |
| 7 | Ass | 57% | +74% | $397 |
| 8 | Border 20+ times | 56% | +80% | $895 |
| 9 | Iran 5+ times | 56% | +80% | $640 |
| 10 | Star | 52% | +94% | $333 |
| 11 | America First / Gulf of America | 48% | +108% | $493 |
| 12 | Transgender 7+ times | 47% | +113% | $427 |
| 13 | Hell 15+ times | 44% | +125% | $307 |
| 14 | Hormuz / Blockade | 44% | +125% | $943 |
| 15 | Gay | 34% | +190% | $136 |
| 16 | Fentanyl / Deport / Deported | 32% | +208% | $60 |
| 17 | AI / Artificial Intelligence | 25% | +300% | $2K |
| 18 | Milk | 20% | +388% | $526 |
| 19 | Drill Baby Drill | 20% | +388% | $2K |
| 20 | Data Center BEST VALUE | 18% | +441% | $885 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
Donald Trump is scheduled to give remarks during his Midterm Rally in Clemson, South Carolina on October 21, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. (https://events.gop.com/events/midterm-rally-in-clemson-sc-president-do...
This prediction market tracks whether What will Trump say during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina? will occur, with $19K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by polling data, political developments, and historical voting patterns.
Traders lean toward Tax 20+ times at 75%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $19K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-10-21. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Oct 21, 2026 at 17:25 UTC, the leading outcome is Tax 20+ times at 75% probability, with $19K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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