The market strongly favors Oil / Gas / Gasoline 5+ times at 87%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oil / Gas / Gasoline 5+ times | 87% | +15% | $39 |
| 2 | Terror / Terrorism | 84% | +20% | $381 |
| 3 | Trump | 81% | +23% | $1K |
| 4 | AI / Artificial Intelligence | 81% | +23% | $1K |
| 5 | Stock Market | 77% | +30% | $376 |
| 6 | NATO | 76% | +32% | $724 |
| 7 | Board of Peace | 71% | +41% | $191 |
| 8 | Communist / Communism | 71% | +41% | $813 |
| 9 | Nuclear 5+ times | 66% | +50% | $679 |
| 10 | Teleprompter | 62% | +60% | $974 |
| 11 | Million / Billion / Trillion 20+ times | 60% | +68% | $91 |
| 12 | Moon / NASA | 59% | +69% | $2K |
| 13 | Pledge / Pledged | 56% | +77% | $204 |
| 14 | Terminated / Terminating | 55% | +82% | $95 |
| 15 | Failing Country / Failing Nation | 48% | +108% | $542 |
| 16 | Bully | 48% | +111% | $650 |
| 17 | Regime Change | 45% | +122% | $1K |
| 18 | Epic Fury | 41% | +144% | $752 |
| 19 | Data Center | 41% | +144% | $755 |
| 20 | Favorite Word BEST VALUE | 36% | +174% | $580 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
Donald Trump is scheduled to speak during the United Nations General Assembly on September 22, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the specified appear...
This prediction market tracks whether What will Trump say during the United Nations General Assembly? will occur, with $16K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by polling data, political developments, and historical voting patterns.
The market shows strong consensus: Oil / Gas / Gasoline 5+ times is priced at 87%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $16K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-09-22. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Sep 18, 2026 at 21:25 UTC, the leading outcome is Oil / Gas / Gasoline 5+ times at 87% probability, with $16K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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