The market strongly favors Ukraine at 86%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ukraine | 86% | +16% | $425 |
| 2 | Democrat | 84% | +18% | $671 |
| 3 | Iran 3+ times | 84% | +19% | $552 |
| 4 | Election | 75% | +33% | $789 |
| 5 | Putin | 70% | +42% | $1K |
| 6 | Biden / Obama 4+ times | 62% | +60% | $994 |
| 7 | Hell | 62% | +61% | $2K |
| 8 | Fake News | 62% | +61% | $388 |
| 9 | Communist / Communism | 48% | +111% | $2K |
| 10 | Stock Market | 41% | +144% | $2K |
| 11 | AI / Artificial Intelligence | 34% | +194% | $322 |
| 12 | Transgender | 30% | +228% | $399 |
| 13 | Filibuster | 28% | +264% | $86 |
| 14 | Boeing | 17% | +488% | $3K |
| 15 | COVID | 10% | +953% | $270 |
| 16 | Gay BEST VALUE | 8% | +1233% | $541 |
| 17 | -No Qualifying Event- | 4% | +2400% | $32 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
Donald Trump is scheduled to appear on FOX & Friends on July 28 at 8:30 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at this event. Otherwise, t...
This prediction market tracks whether What will Trump say on Fox News: Fox & Friends? will occur, with $15K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by polling data, political developments, and historical voting patterns.
The market shows strong consensus: Ukraine is priced at 86%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $15K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-07-28. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jul 28, 2026 at 11:55 UTC, the leading outcome is Ukraine at 86% probability, with $15K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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