Market is split — June 15–June 21 at 48%. High uncertainty = high risk/reward opportunity.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | June 15–June 21 | 48% | +106% | $14K |
| 2 | June 22–June 28 | 30% | +234% | $12K |
| 3 | June 8–June 14 BEST VALUE | 14% | +641% | $26K |
| 4 | Not released by June 28 | 4% | +2603% | $20K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public. GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a varian...
This prediction market tracks whether When will GPT-5.6 be released? will occur, with $114K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by available information and market participant behavior.
The market is closely contested, with June 15–June 21 leading at just 48%. This near-even split signals high uncertainty among traders, creating potential value opportunities for those with strong conviction based on their own analysis of the underlying factors.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $29K traded in the last 24 hours alone (25% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-06-28. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jun 10, 2026 at 08:05 UTC, the leading outcome is June 15–June 21 at 48% probability, with $114K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $114K, with $29K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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