Moonshot leads at 81%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Moonshot | 81% | +24% | $13K |
| 2 | Other | 50% | +100% | - |
| 3 | Company A | 50% | +100% | - |
| 4 | Company B | 50% | +100% | - |
| 5 | Company C | 50% | +100% | - |
| 6 | Company D | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | Company E | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | Company F | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | Company G | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | Company H | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | Company I | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | Company J | 50% | +100% | - |
| 13 | Company K | 50% | +100% | - |
| 14 | Company L | 50% | +100% | - |
| 15 | Company M | 50% | +100% | - |
| 16 | Anthropic BEST VALUE | 19% | +414% | $5K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev) when the table u...
This prediction market tracks whether Which company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of July? will occur, with $36K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by available information and market participant behavior.
Traders lean toward Moonshot at 81%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $11K traded in the last 24 hours alone (30% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-07-31. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jul 25, 2026 at 06:15 UTC, the leading outcome is Moonshot at 81% probability, with $36K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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