No clear favorite. Egypt leads at just 20%. Many possible outcomes.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Egypt | 20% | +413% | $2K |
| 2 | Qatar | 15% | +567% | $1K |
| 3 | Kuwait | 10% | +852% | $1K |
| 4 | Sudan | 10% | +852% | $2K |
| 5 | Syria | 10% | +900% | $2K |
| 6 | Yemen | 10% | +900% | - |
| 7 | Bahrain | 10% | +953% | $1K |
| 8 | Iran | 8% | +1076% | $1K |
| 9 | Iraq | 8% | +1076% | $2K |
| 10 | Somalia | 8% | +1076% | $3K |
| 11 | Oman | 8% | +1233% | - |
| 12 | Algeria | 7% | +1329% | - |
| 13 | Jordan | 6% | +1438% | $1K |
| 14 | Lebanon | 6% | +1438% | - |
| 15 | Morocco BEST VALUE | 6% | +1718% | $2K |
| 16 | United Arab Emirates | 6% | +1718% | $20K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
The Makkah Joint Defence Agreement (also known as the Makkah Accord or Mecca Joint Defense Agreement) is a collective-defense agreement signed by Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, and Pakistan on August 7, 2026,...
This prediction market tracks whether Which countries will join the Mecca Agreement by December 31? will occur, with $38K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by polling data, political developments, and historical voting patterns.
No clear favorite has emerged — Egypt leads at only 20% across 16 possible outcomes. Markets with this level of uncertainty typically offer the highest potential returns but also carry the greatest risk.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $38K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-12-31. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 26, 2026 at 19:25 UTC, the leading outcome is Egypt at 20% probability, with $38K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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