No clear favorite. Thom Tillis leads at just 10%. Many possible outcomes.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thom Tillis | 10% | +852% | $26K |
| 2 | Catherine Cortez Masto | 10% | +876% | $42K |
| 3 | Kirsten Gillibrand | 9% | +1011% | $9K |
| 4 | Andy Kim | 8% | +1190% | $4K |
| 5 | Alex Padilla | 8% | +1225% | $19K |
| 6 | John Fetterman | 8% | +1233% | $13K |
| 7 | Jacky Rosen | 7% | +1279% | $26K |
| 8 | Raphael Warnock | 7% | +1371% | $4K |
| 9 | Mark Warner | 6% | +1462% | $87K |
| 10 | Rand Paul | 6% | +1462% | $63K |
| 11 | Mike Lee | 6% | +1526% | $63K |
| 12 | Lisa Blunt Rochester | 6% | +1718% | $24K |
| 13 | Josh Hawley BEST VALUE | 5% | +1787% | $57K |
| 14 | Ruben Gallego | 3% | +3348% | $29K |
| 15 | Jerry Moran | 3% | +3674% | $16K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed Senator votes "Yea" on the first Senate vote on final passage of crypto market structure legislation occurring before January 1, 2027. Otherwise, this m...
This prediction market tracks whether Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act? will occur, with $484K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by polling data, political developments, and historical voting patterns.
No clear favorite has emerged — Thom Tillis leads at only 10% across 15 possible outcomes. Markets with this level of uncertainty typically offer the highest potential returns but also carry the greatest risk.
Recent trading volume of $31K in 24 hours shows healthy market activity. Active markets tend to produce more accurate probability estimates, as continuous trading ensures prices quickly incorporate new information.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2027-01-02. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Oct 30, 2026 at 09:05 UTC, the leading outcome is Thom Tillis at 10% probability, with $484K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $484K, with $31K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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