No clear favorite. Kamala Harris leads at just 12%. Many possible outcomes.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kamala Harris | 12% | +700% | $48K |
| 2 | Rahm Emanuel | 12% | +770% | $10K |
| 3 | Stephen A. Smith | 11% | +809% | $16K |
| 4 | Gavin Newsom | 10% | +852% | $62K |
| 5 | Pete Buttigieg | 10% | +852% | $14K |
| 6 | Andy Beshear | 10% | +852% | $8K |
| 7 | Tucker Carlson | 10% | +852% | $17K |
| 8 | Mark Kelly | 10% | +953% | $9K |
| 9 | Candace Owens | 9% | +981% | $5K |
| 10 | Donald Trump | 9% | +999% | $51K |
| 11 | Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | 8% | +1076% | $41K |
| 12 | J.B. Pritzker | 8% | +1076% | $3K |
| 13 | Brian Kemp | 8% | +1076% | $3K |
| 14 | Matt Gaetz | 8% | +1076% | $3K |
| 15 | Mark Cuban | 8% | +1233% | $7K |
| 16 | Rand Paul | 8% | +1233% | $17K |
| 17 | Steve Bannon | 8% | +1233% | $16K |
| 18 | Marjorie Taylor Greene | 8% | +1233% | $20K |
| 19 | Don Lemon | 7% | +1289% | $2K |
| 20 | Gretchen Whitmer BEST VALUE | 7% | +1329% | $2K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM...
This prediction market tracks whether Who will announce Presidential run before 2027? will occur, with $956K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by polling data, political developments, and historical voting patterns.
No clear favorite has emerged — Kamala Harris leads at only 12% across 20 possible outcomes. Markets with this level of uncertainty typically offer the highest potential returns but also carry the greatest risk.
The market has seen $13K in 24-hour volume, suggesting a period of relative calm. Lower activity periods can present value opportunities for traders who spot mispriced odds before the broader market reacts.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-12-31. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jul 27, 2026 at 03:55 UTC, the leading outcome is Kamala Harris at 12% probability, with $956K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $956K, with $13K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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