No clear favorite. Donald Trump leads at just 32%. Many possible outcomes.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Donald Trump | 32% | +214% | $9K |
| 2 | Kamala Harris | 24% | +308% | $30K |
| 3 | Rahm Emanuel | 24% | +317% | $6K |
| 4 | Pete Buttigieg | 18% | +471% | $9K |
| 5 | Tucker Carlson | 17% | +488% | $12K |
| 6 | Mark Kelly | 16% | +506% | $6K |
| 7 | Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | 16% | +525% | $34K |
| 8 | Candace Owens | 15% | +580% | $2K |
| 9 | Gavin Newsom | 14% | +590% | $54K |
| 10 | Marjorie Taylor Greene | 14% | +590% | $14K |
| 11 | J.B. Pritzker | 14% | +590% | $2K |
| 12 | Beto O’Rourke | 14% | +604% | $6K |
| 13 | Josh Hawley | 14% | +612% | $3K |
| 14 | Ted Cruz | 14% | +614% | $12K |
| 15 | Andy Beshear | 14% | +641% | $5K |
| 16 | J.D. Vance | 14% | +641% | $21K |
| 17 | Andrew Yang | 13% | +697% | $9K |
| 18 | John Fetterman BEST VALUE | 12% | +700% | $5K |
| 19 | Marco Rubio | 12% | +700% | $5K |
| 20 | Mark Cuban | 12% | +700% | $2K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM...
This prediction market tracks whether Who will announce Presidential run before 2027? will occur, with $728K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by polling data, political developments, and historical voting patterns.
No clear favorite has emerged — Donald Trump leads at only 32% across 20 possible outcomes. Markets with this level of uncertainty typically offer the highest potential returns but also carry the greatest risk.
The market has seen $11K in 24-hour volume, suggesting a period of relative calm. Lower activity periods can present value opportunities for traders who spot mispriced odds before the broader market reacts.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-12-31. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jun 12, 2026 at 01:35 UTC, the leading outcome is Donald Trump at 32% probability, with $728K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $728K, with $11K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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