No clear favorite. Rahm Emanuel leads at just 37%. Many possible outcomes.
High Volume — $1.3M traded| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rahm Emanuel | 37% | +167% | $21K |
| 2 | Raphael Warnock | 35% | +186% | $4K |
| 3 | Andy Beshear | 31% | +222% | $30K |
| 4 | Tulsi Gabbard | 23% | +337% | $7K |
| 5 | Pete Buttigieg | 18% | +451% | $25K |
| 6 | Phil Murphy | 15% | +585% | $5K |
| 7 | Mark Kelly | 10% | +931% | $14K |
| 8 | Steve Bannon | 9% | +1011% | $22K |
| 9 | Gavin Newsom | 8% | +1076% | $94K |
| 10 | Glenn Youngkin | 8% | +1233% | $7K |
| 11 | Ron DeSantis | 7% | +1251% | $4K |
| 12 | Don Lemon | 7% | +1339% | $3K |
| 13 | Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | 6% | +1438% | $60K |
| 14 | Ted Cruz | 6% | +1438% | $18K |
| 15 | Rand Paul | 6% | +1567% | $20K |
| 16 | Elise Stefanik | 6% | +1595% | $5K |
| 17 | Gina Raimondo | 6% | +1609% | $5K |
| 18 | Brian Kemp | 6% | +1718% | $5K |
| 19 | Josh Shapiro BEST VALUE | 5% | +1735% | $14K |
| 20 | Nikki Haley | 5% | +1735% | $5K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM...
This prediction market tracks whether Who will announce Presidential run before 2027? will occur, with $1.3M in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by polling data, political developments, and historical voting patterns.
No clear favorite has emerged — Rahm Emanuel leads at only 37% across 20 possible outcomes. Markets with this level of uncertainty typically offer the highest potential returns but also carry the greatest risk.
The market has seen $24K in 24-hour volume, suggesting a period of relative calm. Lower activity periods can present value opportunities for traders who spot mispriced odds before the broader market reacts.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2027-01-01. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Nov 04, 2026 at 10:45 UTC, the leading outcome is Rahm Emanuel at 37% probability, with $1.3M in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $1.3M, with $24K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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