The market strongly favors Mette Frederiksen at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mette Frederiksen | 100% | - | $2K |
| 2 | Volodymyr Zelensky | 100% | - | $415 |
| 3 | King Frederik X | 100% | - | $320 |
| 4 | King Willem-Alexander | 100% | - | $557 |
| 5 | King Philippe | 100% | - | $368 |
| 6 | Crown Prince Fumihito | 100% | - | $611 |
| 7 | Princess Beatrix | 100% | - | $103 |
| 8 | Alar Karis | 100% | - | $1K |
| 9 | Edgars Rinkēvičs | 100% | - | $299 |
| 10 | Gitanas Nausėda | 100% | - | $226 |
| 11 | King Carl XVI Gustaf | 100% | - | $1K |
| 12 | King Felipe VI | 100% | - | $266 |
| 13 | Prince Albert II | 100% | - | $248 |
| 14 | Prince William | 100% | - | $1K |
| 15 | Frank-Walter Steinmeier | 100% | - | $1K |
| 16 | Jonas Gahr Støre | 100% | - | $711 |
| 17 | Alexander Stubb | 100% | +0% | $250 |
| 18 | Halla Tómasdóttir | 65% | +54% | $186 |
| 19 | Barack Obama BEST VALUE | 46% | +117% | $264 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
The state funeral of King Harald V of Norway has been scheduled for 1:00 PM CEST on September 9, 2026, at Oslo Cathedral in Oslo, Norway. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual at...
This prediction market tracks whether Who will attend King Harald V's funeral? will occur, with $29K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by polling data, political developments, and historical voting patterns.
The market shows strong consensus: Mette Frederiksen is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $14K traded in the last 24 hours alone (50% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-09-13. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Sep 09, 2026 at 22:35 UTC, the leading outcome is Mette Frederiksen at 100% probability, with $29K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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