The market strongly favors Elon Musk at 86%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Elon Musk | 86% | +16% | $3K |
| 2 | Cam Skattebo | 50% | +100% | $36 |
| 3 | Matthew McConaughey | 49% | +104% | - |
| 4 | Tom Brady | 49% | +104% | - |
| 5 | Carmelo Anthony | 46% | +117% | $57 |
| 6 | Eli Manning | 38% | +160% | $123 |
| 7 | Travis Scott | 26% | +277% | $64 |
| 8 | Chris Rock | 24% | +317% | $717 |
| 9 | Sydney Sweeney | 12% | +733% | $77 |
| 10 | Jake Paul | 10% | +900% | $2K |
| 11 | Drake | 6% | +1702% | $261 |
| 12 | MrBeast | 5% | +1752% | $426 |
| 13 | Steve Carell BEST VALUE | 5% | +1787% | $162 |
| 14 | Timothee Chalamet | 4% | +2122% | $95 |
| 15 | Sabrina Carpenter | 4% | +2226% | $534 |
| 16 | Will Hasbulla attend UFC Freedom 250? | 2% | +4900% | $47 |
| 17 | Alicia Keys | 2% | +5456% | $1K |
| 18 | Selena Gomez | 2% | +6150% | $559 |
| 19 | Jimmy Fallon | 2% | +6352% | $421 |
| 20 | Anne Hathaway | 1% | +7307% | $421 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
The UFC Freedom 250 event is scheduled to occur on June 14, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends UFC Freedom 250. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If...
This prediction market tracks whether Who will attend UFC Freedom 250? will occur, with $18K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by polling data, political developments, and historical voting patterns.
The market shows strong consensus: Elon Musk is priced at 86%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $10K traded in the last 24 hours alone (54% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-06-15. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jun 14, 2026 at 13:15 UTC, the leading outcome is Elon Musk at 86% probability, with $18K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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