The market strongly favors King Salman bin Abdulaziz Al Saud at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | King Salman bin Abdulaziz Al Saud | 100% | +0% | $1K |
| 2 | Sheikh Tamim al-Thani | 100% | +1% | $2K |
| 3 | Gianni Infantino | 98% | +2% | $417 |
| 4 | Susan Dell | 98% | +2% | $379 |
| 5 | Mark Rutte | 94% | +6% | $215 |
| 6 | Elon Musk | 86% | +17% | $10K |
| 7 | Dana White | 80% | +25% | $407 |
| 8 | Brett Kavanaugh | 78% | +28% | - |
| 9 | Ahmed al-Sharaa | 74% | +36% | - |
| 10 | Weijia Jiang | 71% | +41% | $679 |
| 11 | Cristiano Ronaldo | 70% | +43% | $311 |
| 12 | Lionel Messi | 70% | +43% | $580 |
| 13 | Recep Tayyip Erdoğan | 56% | +80% | $80 |
| 14 | Ursula von der Leyen | 47% | +113% | $20 |
| 15 | Emmanuel Macron | 40% | +150% | $215 |
| 16 | Vladimir Putin | 36% | +174% | - |
| 17 | Zohran Mamdani | 34% | +194% | $141 |
| 18 | Delcy Rodriguez BEST VALUE | 25% | +300% | $292 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly praises the listed individual between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying...
This prediction market tracks whether Who will Trump publicly praise by July 31? will occur, with $17K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by polling data, political developments, and historical voting patterns.
The market shows strong consensus: King Salman bin Abdulaziz Al Saud is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $15K traded in the last 24 hours alone (92% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-07-31. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jul 07, 2026 at 04:35 UTC, the leading outcome is King Salman bin Abdulaziz Al Saud at 100% probability, with $17K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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