The market strongly favors Byron Donalds at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Byron Donalds | 100% | - | $835 |
| 2 | Elon Musk | 84% | +19% | $107 |
| 3 | Xi Jinping | 82% | +23% | $3K |
| 4 | Roger Penske | 81% | +23% | $1K |
| 5 | Volodymyr Zelenskyy | 69% | +45% | $862 |
| 6 | Gianni Infantino | 64% | +56% | $91 |
| 7 | Kevin Warsh | 63% | +59% | $1K |
| 8 | Delcy Rodriguez | 57% | +75% | $167 |
| 9 | Andy Burnham | 56% | +80% | $940 |
| 10 | Zohran Mamdani | 54% | +87% | $177 |
| 11 | Warren Buffett | 53% | +89% | $683 |
| 12 | Benjamin Netanyahu | 50% | +100% | $320 |
| 13 | Nicki Minaj | 47% | +113% | $663 |
| 14 | Dana White | 46% | +120% | $688 |
| 15 | Mark Rutte | 41% | +143% | $3K |
| 16 | Bryson DeChambeau | 39% | +156% | $905 |
| 17 | Claudia Sheinbaum | 34% | +194% | $156 |
| 18 | Jon Rahm | 24% | +326% | $591 |
| 19 | Javier Milei | 24% | +326% | $384 |
| 20 | Emmanuel Macron BEST VALUE | 20% | +413% | $40 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly praises the listed individual between August 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "N...
This prediction market tracks whether Who will Trump publicly praise in August? will occur, with $16K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by polling data, political developments, and historical voting patterns.
The market shows strong consensus: Byron Donalds is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $11K traded in the last 24 hours alone (67% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-08-31. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 04, 2026 at 10:45 UTC, the leading outcome is Byron Donalds at 100% probability, with $16K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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