Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?

Ends Sep 06, 2026 · Volume: $142K · 24h: $11K · Updated Jul 06, 2026 at 10:25 UTC
PredScope Signal: Wide Open

No clear favorite. Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? leads at just 36%. Many possible outcomes.

Active 24h volume is 7.4% of total — above-average activity
# Outcome Probability If Right Volume
1 Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? 36% +182% $142K
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Quick Math — $100 on Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?
Buy Price
$0.35
If Right
+$181.69
Return
+182%
If wrong, you lose your $100 investment. Prediction markets carry risk.

Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the party Alternative for Germany (AfD) wins an a...

Market Analysis

This prediction market tracks whether Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? will occur, with $142K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by polling data, political developments, and historical voting patterns.

No clear favorite has emerged — Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? leads at only 36% across 1 possible outcomes. Markets with this level of uncertainty typically offer the highest potential returns but also carry the greatest risk.

Recent trading volume of $11K in 24 hours shows healthy market activity. Active markets tend to produce more accurate probability estimates, as continuous trading ensures prices quickly incorporate new information.

This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-09-06. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.

Total Volume
$142K
Liquidity
$58K

FAQ

What are the current odds for Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt??

As of Jul 06, 2026 at 10:25 UTC, the leading outcome is Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? at 36% probability, with $142K in total trading volume on Polymarket.

How much money is bet on Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt??

The total trading volume for this market is $142K, with $11K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.

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