Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

Ends Dec 31, 2027 · Volume: $146K · 24h: $13K · Updated Jun 10, 2026 at 22:35 UTC
PredScope Signal: Leaning

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? leads at 82%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.

Active 24h volume is 8.7% of total — above-average activity
# Outcome Probability If Right Volume
1 Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? 82% +21% $146K
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Quick Math — $100 on Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
Buy Price
$0.82
If Right
+$21.21
Return
+21%
If wrong, you lose your $100 investment. Prediction markets carry risk.

This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company annou...

Market Analysis

This prediction market tracks whether Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? will occur, with $146K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by available information and market participant behavior.

Traders lean toward Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? at 82%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.

Recent trading volume of $13K in 24 hours shows healthy market activity. Active markets tend to produce more accurate probability estimates, as continuous trading ensures prices quickly incorporate new information.

This market is scheduled to resolve by 2027-12-31. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.

Total Volume
$146K
Liquidity
$20K

FAQ

What are the current odds for Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first??

As of Jun 10, 2026 at 22:35 UTC, the leading outcome is Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? at 82% probability, with $146K in total trading volume on Polymarket.

How much money is bet on Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first??

The total trading volume for this market is $146K, with $13K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.

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