Will any AI model reach ___ Math Arena Score by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026 · Volume: $28K · 24h: $17K · Updated Jul 06, 2026 at 15:35 UTC
PredScope Signal: Strong Consensus

The market strongly favors 1525 at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.

🔥 Surging 24h volume is 60% of total — extremely active trading
# Outcome Probability If Right Volume
1 1525 100% - $3K
2 1550 48% +111% $16K
3 1575 16% +525% $6K
4 1600 BEST VALUE 11% +809% $3K
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model on the Arena.AI Leaderboard (arena.ai/leaderboard/text) reaches at least the specified Arena Score on the "Leaderboard" tab for "Math" by December 31, 20...

Market Analysis

This prediction market tracks whether Will any AI model reach ___ Math Arena Score by December 31? will occur, with $28K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by available information and market participant behavior.

The market shows strong consensus: 1525 is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.

Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $17K traded in the last 24 hours alone (60% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.

This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-12-31. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.

Total Volume
$28K
Liquidity
$23K

FAQ

What are the current odds for Will any AI model reach ___ Math Arena Score by December 31??

As of Jul 06, 2026 at 15:35 UTC, the leading outcome is 1525 at 100% probability, with $28K in total trading volume on Polymarket.

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